Two ways of thinking about this chart of stocks and recessions

Two ways of thinking about this chart of stocks and recessions

This post was originally published on TKer.com.

Jim Reid, macro strategist at the bank, wrote that “historically the S&P 500 normally always only bottoms in a recession and usually not until mid-way through.”

Reid and his colleagues expect the U.S. economy to enter a recession in 2023. As such, they also believe the S&P 500 is “likely” to see a low that year before resuming any rally.

There are two ways of thinking about this chart.

First, recessions are common in history and…


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