Tag Archives: Sachs

About 5 million Americans have exited the labor force since the pandemic began. Goldman Sachs estimates that about 3.4 million are likely gone for good due to retirements, meaning that 1.7 million people are open to returning to work. But Goldman said in a note on Nov. 11 that there is a “long-run risk” to labor force participation: a general distaste for work. The bank’s economics team pointed to the reddit thread r/Antiwork, a social media community carrying the mantra “Unemployment… Source link

Goldman Sachs is taking a somewhat contrarian view on the longer-term outlook for inflation. The global banking and investment giant is expecting a core inflation rate of 4.3% in the U.S. at the end of this year, followed by a drop to 3% in June 2022 and 2.15% by December 2022. Yahoo!Finance editor Brian Sozzi points to several factors informing Goldman Sachs’ analysis: “First is an improved supply of semiconductors as manufacturers such as Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor ramp up… Source link

Hat tip to Goldman Sachs for taking a somewhat contrarian take on the longer-term outlook for inflation.  Whether it proves correct is anyone’s guess as headlines continue on price spikes for commodities and consumer goods. “We are boosting our sequential inflation assumptions for Q4 and early 2022. We now expect year-on-year core PCE inflation of 4.3% at year-end, 3.0% in June 2022, and 2.15% in December 2022 (vs. 4.25%, 2.7% and 2.0% previously). This slower resolution of supply constraints… Source link

The U.S. economy will be battling a continued slowdown in 2022 as it contends with sticky inflation and supply chain bottlenecks, reasons Goldman Sachs (GS) chief economist Jan Hatzius.  “I would say growth is clearly slowing. Obviously we are past the peak [growth] rate, but it’s a relatively graduate slowdown,” said Hatzius on Yahoo Finance Live.  Hatzius and his team made headlines earlier this month for cutting their 2021 GDP growth estimate to 5.6% from 5.7%. The group also issued a… Source link

There are some bullish trades to put on in the oil patch to ride the new gusher in prices for black gold and natural gas, says Goldman Sachs analyst Neil Mehta.  Mehta reiterated Buy ratings and aggressive upside price targets on oil majors ConocoPhillips (COP) and ExxonMobil (XOM) Monday. The analyst sees ConocoPhillips delivering a 20% return for investors over the next 12 months.  “The company should deliver 30%-40% of cash flow back to shareholders in the form of dividends/buybacks, has… Source link

Goldman Sachs believes people are over invested in big cap tech names such as Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google [FAANG] that have minted fat profits and higher stock prices the past decade amid an explosion in tech advances. To get investors thinking beyond FAANG, the investment bank recently launched the Goldman Sachs Future Tech Leaders ETF. As the name implies, it looks to invest in the next big winners in tech that have true global exposure. “We launched the ETF strategy because… Source link

The biggest fear investors should have with the crisis gripping overly indebted Chinese real estate developer Evergrande is global contagion, argues Goldman Sachs.  “The danger is precisely the contagion effect, should a default occur without clear ‘ring-fencing’ of spillovers to other parts of the real economy or financial sector. Events over the past week suggest risks of inching toward that direction,” said Goldman Sachs Hui Shan in a research note on Monday.  Shan points out that he is… Source link

(Bloomberg) — Elevated commodity prices and expectations for earnings growth are igniting bullish bets on emerging-market equities after more than a decade of underperformance that left them approaching a 20-year low against developed-nation stocks. Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Bank of America Corp. and Lazard Asset Management expect a boost for developing equities as investors capitalize on cheap valuations once vaccine rollouts pick up, helping the global economy to recover from the pandemic…. Source link

Goldman Sachs sees the U.S. labor market maintaining its momentum well into 2022.  Economists at the firm led by Jan Hatzius lowered their year-end 2021 unemployment rate forecast slightly to 4.1% on Monday. For 2022, Hatzius and his team projects a 3.5% unemployment rate. If achieved, the unemployment rate would be at a 50-year low as the economy powers back from the COVID-19 pandemic.  Employment at those levels in 2022 would bring the economy to full employment, Hatzius says.  “We expect… Source link

Goldman Sachs is getting more bullish on stocks. The Wall Street firm on Thursday upgraded its year-end price target for the S&P 500 (^GSPC) to 4,700, up from the 4,300 seen previously. That new target would represent an upside of nearly 7% from closing prices on Wednesday, and add to what has already been a more than 17% year-to-date gain for the blue-chip index. Goldman also expects the S&P 500 to close out 2022 at 4,900, raising this from a previous target of 4,600. A combination of… Source link