Tag Archives: Inflation

Goldman Sachs is taking a somewhat contrarian view on the longer-term outlook for inflation. The global banking and investment giant is expecting a core inflation rate of 4.3% in the U.S. at the end of this year, followed by a drop to 3% in June 2022 and 2.15% by December 2022. Yahoo!Finance editor Brian Sozzi points to several factors informing Goldman Sachs’ analysis: “First is an improved supply of semiconductors as manufacturers such as Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor ramp up… Source link

Hat tip to Goldman Sachs for taking a somewhat contrarian take on the longer-term outlook for inflation.  Whether it proves correct is anyone’s guess as headlines continue on price spikes for commodities and consumer goods. “We are boosting our sequential inflation assumptions for Q4 and early 2022. We now expect year-on-year core PCE inflation of 4.3% at year-end, 3.0% in June 2022, and 2.15% in December 2022 (vs. 4.25%, 2.7% and 2.0% previously). This slower resolution of supply constraints… Source link

Despite the ever scary inflation headlines, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and S&P 500 (^GSPC) are flirting with record highs.  That’s counter to prevailing wisdom, right?  On paper, increasing inflationary pressure brought on mostly from the pandemic should be pounding corporate profit margins and weighing on outlooks. So far this earnings season, on balance that hasn’t happened and stock prices have been fast to jump on the less dire narrative, pros say.  “Investor sentiment had… Source link

Stock futures fell Monday morning to give back some gains after the S&P 500’s best week since July, with investors’ concerns over elevated inflation offsetting hopes that more companies will follow the lead of the big banks last week and post strong quarterly earnings results.  Contracts on the Dow dropped about 100 points, or 0.3%, with about two hours until the opening bell. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also headed for lower opens. The moves tracked a drop in overseas equities after China… Source link

This article first appeared in the Morning Brief. Get the Morning Brief sent directly to your inbox every Monday to Friday by 6:30 a.m. ET. Subscribe Thursday, October 14, 2021 Rents are surging, and your ticket out of town could be next The latest on the inflation front shows that consumer prices are still on the rise. As usual these days, there’s good, bad and worse news. First, the (sort-of) good news: September’s consumer price index (CPI) was relatively stable, with the headline rate… Source link

Consumers may be getting less “bang for their buck” as companies have begun to offer fewer services in lieu of raising prices, Alan Cole, former staff for Congress’ Joint Economic Committee and policy director at Full Stack Economics. Generally, inflation occurs when the price of a good increases, so that consumers pay more for what they could previously purchase for a cheaper price. “But there’s another way that inflation can happen, and that’s when you’re paying the same amount, but… Source link

(Bloomberg) — Stocks and U.S. equity futures fell Tuesday, hurt by concerns about elevated inflation stoked by energy costs and the possibility of a widening regulatory crackdown in China. Most Read from Bloomberg MSCI Inc.’s Asia-Pacific index snapped a three-day climb, with the technology sector leading losses and China underperforming. Signs that Beijing is widening its scrutiny of private and state enterprises soured the broader mood. S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and European futures retreated… Source link

Stock futures opened in slightly negative territory Monday evening, holding lower after a further rise in commodity prices escalated concerns over inflation heading into corporate earnings season. Contracts on the S&P 500 ticked down. The index ended Monday’s session in the red, weighed down by a drop in the communication services and utilities sectors. Both the Nasdaq and Dow also fell. Energy and commodity prices, meanwhile, extended a swift march higher. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude… Source link

This article first appeared in the Morning Brief. Get the Morning Brief sent directly to your inbox every Monday to Friday by 6:30 a.m. ET. Subscribe Monday, October 11, 2021 Funny (or sad, depending on how you look at it) short story from this past week that will inspire you to (hopefully) scrutinize your portfolio as we head into 2022.  I enjoy grocery shopping, really ever since I raised hell down the canned-goods aisles with my mom as a kid. The thrill of finding that perfect looking steak… Source link

(Bloomberg) — U.S. futures fell with stocks as surging energy prices stoked inflationary pressures ahead of a key U.S. employment report. Treasury yields extended an advance. Most Read from Bloomberg S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 contracts declined, with tech giants such as Apple Inc. and Facebook Inc. down in premarket trading. European equities slid to a two-month low, with natural gas prices soaring even as the European Union pledged swift action to ensure the spiking costs don’t stifle the… Source link