Tag Archives: ElErian

Renowned economist Mohamed El-Erian believes inflation will come down by the end of the year but “will be sticky.” “I’m looking for a core CPI in the 4.5% to 5.5% range, so well above the 2% target of the Fed,” the chief economic adviser of Allianz said on Influencers with Andy Serwer (video above). The latest monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading came in at 9.1%, the highest level since November 1981. The reading for July CPI will be released on Wednesday. “What I’m most… Source link

The risk of a recession “is getting higher and higher,” says veteran economist Mohamed El-Erian. “My definition of a recession is a holistic definition. It goes well beyond two quarters of negative GDP,” said the chief economic advisor of Allianz and former CEO of PIMCO. “The labor market is too strong. Consumer spending is too strong. Business balance sheets are too strong. We simply are not in a recession. Is the risk of recession high? Yes, it is high and getting higher,”… Source link

Wednesday’s decision by the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates by 75 basis points was its biggest hike since 1994, and economists are starting to digest what a paradigm change it is. One of the world’s most prominent Fed watchers, Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser of financial services firm Allianz and president of Queens’ College at Cambridge, says it’s part of a “great awakening” for central banks, as several others took action this week. For instance, the Swiss… Source link

Along with being expected to start a rate hike cycle in March, the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to stop purchasing assets to add to its $9 trillion balance sheet. And while multiple rate hikes seems to be largely factored into the stock market, winding down the balance sheet — i.e., start selling assets into the market as opposed to buying — is a less understood variable. “When… the most reliable buyer with its own printing press and an incredible willingness to buy – when they… Source link

President Joe Biden and U.S. officials including Secretary of State Antony Blinken are sounding the alarm on a potential impending Russia invasion of Ukraine. That’s adding to pressure on equity markets, as one prominent economist warns of the stagflationary risks if there is indeed military conflict. “If it were to get worse — which is a big if — a very strong stagflationary wind would blow through the global economy,” Mohamed El-Erian, president of Queens College at Cambridge… Source link

If the Federal Reserve is too heavy-handed with its interest rate hikes this year as a means to stomp out high rates of inflation, there is one critical risk that most investors probably aren’t factoring in.  Recession.  “That is the risk [of a recession in 2023],” said Mohamed El-Erian, Queens’ College, Cambridge University president and Allianz advisor, on Yahoo Finance Live. “We haven’t had a situation in the past in which the Fed has been really late [with rate hikes] and the Fed hasn’t… Source link

Mohamed El-Erian says the Fed’s inflation screwup will ‘go down in history’ — but he’s using these 3 stocks to take advantage If a prominent economist is right, the Federal Reserve’s reaction to skyrocketing inflation is “going to go down in history as one of the worst inflation calls.” The Fed has said for months that inflation is a “transitory” trend triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic. Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at asset management firm Allianz SE, doesn’t… Source link

Western regulators and the crypto industry have had a sometimes-adversarial relationship, with Senator Elizabeth Warren this week calling on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen to impose new rules for the sector.  That perspective could risk the U.S. and other nations falling behind China, which has taken a more “holistic” approach, says Mohamed El-Erian, president of Queens’ College at Cambridge University and Allianz Chief Economic Adviser. “China is not waiting,” El-Erian told Yahoo Finance… Source link

TipRanks Analysts Say ‘Buy the Dip’ in These 3 Stocks Smart stock investing shouldn’t be emotional, but investors are only human, after all, making it difficult to follow a rational trading strategy. Investors should remember the advice of Warren Buffett: “We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.” What Buffett is advocating is the oldest of market advice: buy low and sell high. Taking this into consideration, we set out on… Source link