Tag Archives: economist

The housing market boomed in 2020 and 2021 but is now cooling rapidly.AFP/Getty Images US home prices are already falling and are set to tumble in the coming months, an economist said Tuesday. Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macro, told clients “the next few months will be very tough” for the housing market. Property markets boomed in 2020 and 2021 but are rapidly cooling as central banks hike interest rates, pushing up mortgage costs. US home prices are already falling and are… Source link

Americans were sitting on $815.3 billion worth of savings as of April. This may be good news for consumers individually, but bad news for the Federal Reserve, whose efforts to slow inflation could be delayed by this extra pile of cash lying around. “The problem is there is so much cash on household sector balance sheets and corporate sector balance sheets that it’s going to take more rate hikes to slow the economy down, simply because the starting point is a level of cash that is much higher… Source link

Wednesday’s decision by the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates by 75 basis points was its biggest hike since 1994, and economists are starting to digest what a paradigm change it is. One of the world’s most prominent Fed watchers, Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser of financial services firm Allianz and president of Queens’ College at Cambridge, says it’s part of a “great awakening” for central banks, as several others took action this week. For instance, the Swiss… Source link

Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks with Finance Minister Anton Siluanov.RIA Novosti/Reuters The impending Russian debt default is likely to be one of the most difficult in history to resolve, Oxford Economics has said. It could even result in the US seizing the Russian central bank’s frozen assets, the consultancy’s Tatiana Orlova said. Russia still has a grace period in which to make dollar payments on its foreign bonds, but analysts say a default is likely. The impending Russian debt… Source link

Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley chief economist and former Federal Reserve deputy director of monetary affairs, thinks there is no way around a sharp slowing of the economy as the Federal Reserve embarks deeper into its rate hiking cycle. “If you think about what the Fed itself thinks is the long-run sustainable growth rate of the economy, they think that rate of growth is below 2%. And so if you take a growth rate in the economy that’s above 5% or 6%, and you’re going to try to bring it down… Source link

A recession is unlikely for 2022, but it’s not 100% off the table, says one prominent Wall Street economist. Nomura Chief U.S. economist Robert Dent told Yahoo Finance Live he sees the potential for a “mild recession.” “When we think of a mild recession I think the best example is probably what happened in 2021, maybe a 2 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate, a couple of quarters of weak GDP growth,” Dent said. “In terms of time willing, we are most concerned about potentially… Source link

Liquidity issues would make President Joe Biden’s proposed “billionaire tax” difficult to execute, Tyler Goodspeed, former acting chairman and vice chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, told Yahoo Finance Live in a recent interview. “I think my main reaction is, it strikes me as a little bit gimmicky in an election year,” he said. “Look, if you think that billionaires should be paying more in taxes, then I think you should be seriously considering an elimination of the step up… Source link

As oil prices continue to spike, the White House and the oil industry have been engaged in tit-for-tat all week about whether more can be done to ramp up domestic energy supplies. The industry and many of its largely Republican allies in Washington have criticized the White House over what they say are onerous regulations, a slow permitting process, and President Biden’s revocation of the Keystone XL pipeline permit. In response, the White House said that the pipeline would still be under… Source link

Consumer prices in December rose the most year-over-year since 1982, feeding into the Federal Reserve’s guidance that it may need to raise interest rates three times this year to combat inflation. But one economist says the last year has taught an important lesson: forecasters have to stay humble, and nimble. That means there’s no guarantee that three hikes will be necessary. “I think there’s some downside risk for the economy, and, therefore, three hikes are not necessarily in the… Source link

With the Fed slated to begin its rate hike campaign next year, inflation concerns remain at the top of investors’ minds as a turbulent 2021 comes to a close. According to Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC Financial Services Group (PNC), there are several key areas that may see reduced price pressures, leading to slowing inflation overall in the coming year. “I do think that we’ll see a gradual slowing in inflation over the course of 2022,” Faucher told Yahoo Finance Live. “After a… Source link